TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Johnston and Photos Photiades in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Johnston' if Noah Johnston advances against Photos Photiades. This market will resolve to 'Photos Photiades' if Photos Photiades advances against Noah Johnston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Johnston and Photos Photiades in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Johnston' if Noah Johnston advances against Photos Photiades. This market will resolve to 'Photos Photiades' if Photos Photiades advances against Noah Johnston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Las Vegas, NV match between Noah Johnston and Photos Photiades. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the condition or preparation of either Noah Johnston or Photos Photiades, such as injury reports or training updates, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Additionally, analysis from boxing experts or changes in public perception regarding each fighter’s chances could also drive price fluctuations. Unexpected developments leading up to the match, or even early performance indicators during the event itself, could all impact trading activity and the overall probabilities reflected in this market.