TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Neo Niedner and Ilija Palavestra in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Neo Niedner' if Neo Niedner advances against Ilija Palavestra. This market will resolve to 'Ilija Palavestra' if Ilija Palavestra advances against Neo Niedner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Neo Niedner and Ilija Palavestra in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Neo Niedner' if Neo Niedner advances against Ilija Palavestra. This market will resolve to 'Ilija Palavestra' if Ilija Palavestra advances against Neo Niedner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Neo Niedner vs Ilija Palavestra match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Neo Niedner vs Ilija Palavestra match, as declared by the relevant governing body. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. The platform will confirm the outcome and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 2, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the fight's location or rules could also have an impact. Any information that alters perceptions of either Neo Niedner or Ilija Palavestra’s chances of winning the match is likely to cause the market to react and adjust its pricing accordingly.