TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 8:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Forbes and Preston Stearns in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Forbes' if Matthew Forbes advances against Preston Stearns. This market will resolve to 'Preston Stearns' if Preston Stearns advances against Matthew Forbes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Forbes and Preston Stearns in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Forbes' if Matthew Forbes advances against Preston Stearns. This market will resolve to 'Preston Stearns' if Preston Stearns advances against Matthew Forbes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect information and insights beyond those captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team or individual statistics and public perception, this market allows for a broader range of factors to be incorporated, including specialized knowledge and real-time updates. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of expertise among participants and varying sensitivities to new information. It's common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, especially when there's significant uncertainty surrounding an event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing on Polymarket. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the result of the Forbes vs Stearns match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Forbes vs Stearns match as declared by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This ensures a fair and reliable settlement process for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of either Matthew Forbes or Preston Stearns, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in training regimens, strategic announcements, or even public statements from the athletes themselves could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, like changes in venue or rules, could also cause fluctuations in the price of shares. Public polls or expert analysis, while not directly impacting the market, can also influence trader behavior.