TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 3:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kevin Edengren and Luca Preda in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kevin Edengren' if Kevin Edengren advances against Luca Preda. This market will resolve to 'Luca Preda' if Luca Preda advances against Kevin Edengren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kevin Edengren and Luca Preda in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kevin Edengren' if Kevin Edengren advances against Luca Preda. This market will resolve to 'Luca Preda' if Luca Preda advances against Kevin Edengren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If significant differences exist between the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal an opportunity for arbitrage or indicate that the market believes a different outcome is more probable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the predicted winner of the Edengren vs Preda match. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Las Vegas, NV match between Kevin Edengren and Luca Preda. Any official result declared by the governing body of the event will be considered the determining factor. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding the players’ recent performance, any reported injuries, or changes in their training regimens could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion could quickly move the market. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential price movements before Nov 3, 2026.