TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Julian Alonso and Alejandro Arcila in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julian Alonso' if Julian Alonso advances against Alejandro Arcila. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Arcila' if Alejandro Arcila advances against Julian Alonso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julian Alonso and Alejandro Arcila in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julian Alonso' if Julian Alonso advances against Alejandro Arcila. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Arcila' if Alejandro Arcila advances against Julian Alonso. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ beliefs, and can sometimes anticipate outcomes more accurately than traditional sources. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal potential value or differing viewpoints on the likely result.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Julian Alonso vs Alejandro Arcila match. Any official announcements or results released by the governing body of the event will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are officially verified. The platform will then distribute funds based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or changes to their training regimens could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions might also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from sports experts, or even shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks, could also drive movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely winner has the potential to move this market before it resolves.