TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jelani Sarr and Nathan Anthony Barki in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jelani Sarr' if Jelani Sarr advances against Nathan Anthony Barki. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Anthony Barki' if Nathan Anthony Barki advances against Jelani Sarr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jelani Sarr and Nathan Anthony Barki in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jelani Sarr' if Jelani Sarr advances against Nathan Anthony Barki. This market will resolve to 'Nathan Anthony Barki' if Nathan Anthony Barki advances against Jelani Sarr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Jelani Sarr will win, the price of shares representing his victory will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sarr vs Barki fight, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. This includes determining the official winner of the bout, based on knockout, technical knockout, decision, or disqualification. The platform will then verify the result against established sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting trends in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt adjustments in the prediction market. Furthermore, analysis from boxing experts and public polls regarding the likely winner could impact trading activity. A significant shift in public opinion or the emergence of new information about either fighter’s condition are key catalysts to watch for.