TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 4:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Corwin and Noah Zamora in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Corwin' if Felix Corwin advances against Noah Zamora. This market will resolve to 'Noah Zamora' if Noah Zamora advances against Felix Corwin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Corwin and Noah Zamora in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Corwin' if Felix Corwin advances against Noah Zamora. This market will resolve to 'Noah Zamora' if Noah Zamora advances against Felix Corwin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger sample size of informed opinions within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a different perspective than fixed sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated sentiment of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Corwin vs Zamora match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Las Vegas, NV: Felix Corwin vs Noah Zamora match, as determined by the event organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially declared and validated, and the platform reflects the final outcome of the contest.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding the condition of either Felix Corwin or Noah Zamora, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly shift the odds. Public announcements about strategy or pre-match analysis from credible sources might also impact trading activity. Unexpected changes in venue conditions or weather forecasts could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public opinion or betting patterns observed elsewhere. These factors will all contribute to the dynamic pricing within this market until resolution.