TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrew Johnson and Xavi Palomar in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Johnson' if Andrew Johnson advances against Xavi Palomar. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Palomar' if Xavi Palomar advances against Andrew Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrew Johnson and Xavi Palomar in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrew Johnson' if Andrew Johnson advances against Xavi Palomar. This market will resolve to 'Xavi Palomar' if Xavi Palomar advances against Andrew Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access, differing analytical approaches, or simply the influence of public sentiment. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and isn't influenced by external factors or predetermined values.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Andrew Johnson versus Xavi Palomar match. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor reputable sports news outlets and official event websites for updates as the resolution date approaches. The market will then settle based on the confirmed result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding the players’ physical condition, training progress, or strategic adjustments could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or potential rule changes could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, public sentiment, as reflected in social media discussions and expert analyses, can play a role in driving trading volume and price fluctuations. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also affect trader confidence and influence the market.