TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Kim and Luca Preda in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Kim' if Aidan Kim advances against Luca Preda. This market will resolve to 'Luca Preda' if Luca Preda advances against Aidan Kim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aidan Kim and Luca Preda in the M25 Las Vegas, NV, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aidan Kim' if Aidan Kim advances against Luca Preda. This market will resolve to 'Luca Preda' if Luca Preda advances against Aidan Kim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market, where odds adjust rapidly with new information and trading activity. It's common to see this market offer a different perspective on the likely outcome than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation of shares in the Aidan Kim vs Luca Preda match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aidan Kim vs Luca Preda match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader public sentiment could all contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Nov 5, 2026.