TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 10:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Yshai Oliel and Louis Van Herck in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yshai Oliel' if Yshai Oliel advances against Louis Van Herck. This market will resolve to 'Louis Van Herck' if Louis Van Herck advances against Yshai Oliel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yshai Oliel and Louis Van Herck in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yshai Oliel' if Yshai Oliel advances against Louis Van Herck. This market will resolve to 'Louis Van Herck' if Louis Van Herck advances against Yshai Oliel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Observing these differences can be insightful, as the market may incorporate information that sportsbooks haven’t fully accounted for, or vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Yshai Oliel and Louis Van Herck. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket from informed traders could signal a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.