TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Toufik Sahtali and Kael Shalin Shah in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toufik Sahtali' if Toufik Sahtali advances against Kael Shalin Shah. This market will resolve to 'Kael Shalin Shah' if Kael Shalin Shah advances against Toufik Sahtali. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toufik Sahtali and Kael Shalin Shah in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toufik Sahtali' if Toufik Sahtali advances against Kael Shalin Shah. This market will resolve to 'Kael Shalin Shah' if Kael Shalin Shah advances against Toufik Sahtali. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely result of the match. It's also possible that information not yet fully reflected in sportsbook odds is already priced into this market, or vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Toufik Sahtali and Kael Shalin Shah. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Oct 15, 2026.