TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 8:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Toufik Sahtali and Corentin Denolly in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toufik Sahtali' if Toufik Sahtali advances against Corentin Denolly. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Denolly' if Corentin Denolly advances against Toufik Sahtali. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Toufik Sahtali and Corentin Denolly in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Toufik Sahtali' if Toufik Sahtali advances against Corentin Denolly. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Denolly' if Corentin Denolly advances against Toufik Sahtali. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, allows for a more fluid assessment of probabilities as new information emerges. If there’s a significant disagreement between prediction market prices and sportsbook lines, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information isn’t yet reflected in sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match, as reported by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will be considered the winning outcome for this market. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause movement. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions. A strong performance by either player in a preceding match would likely have a significant effect on trading activity in this market.