TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ollie Knight and Yash Chaurasia in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ollie Knight' if Ollie Knight advances against Yash Chaurasia. This market will resolve to 'Yash Chaurasia' if Yash Chaurasia advances against Ollie Knight. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ollie Knight and Yash Chaurasia in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ollie Knight' if Ollie Knight advances against Yash Chaurasia. This market will resolve to 'Yash Chaurasia' if Yash Chaurasia advances against Ollie Knight. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on the collective insights of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more accurate information. It’s always valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded opinion on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand, creating a constantly updated forecast for the Kigali M25 match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kigali M25 match between Ollie Knight and Yash Chaurasia, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants, or even shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment, could all contribute to changes in the price of shares. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.