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24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Schachter and Allan Gatoto in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Schachter' if Noah Schachter advances against Allan Gatoto. This market will resolve to 'Allan Gatoto' if Allan Gatoto advances against Noah Schachter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Schachter and Allan Gatoto in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Schachter' if Noah Schachter advances against Allan Gatoto. This market will resolve to 'Allan Gatoto' if Allan Gatoto advances against Noah Schachter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a large number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can provide valuable insights into differing perspectives on the event’s potential results.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time based on trading activity and new information.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Kigali match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to determine the outcome, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Publicly released analysis from sports commentators or updated rankings could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to the resolution date.