TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Rodrigo Alujas in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Rodrigo Alujas. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Alujas' if Rodrigo Alujas advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Rodrigo Alujas in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Rodrigo Alujas. This market will resolve to 'Rodrigo Alujas' if Rodrigo Alujas advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the perceived chance of that outcome occurring, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are accurate. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the M25 Kigali tennis match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official tournament results as published by the governing tennis body. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, reflecting the actual results of the competition.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is reacting to new information and potential shifts in perceived probabilities.