TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Manuel Plunger in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Manuel Plunger. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Manuel Plunger in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Manuel Plunger. This market will resolve to 'Manuel Plunger' if Manuel Plunger advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to take on risk. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes that diverge from initial sportsbook assessments. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Max Houkes and Manuel Plunger, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the match results against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, fitness, or recent performance could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also affect the market. Furthermore, changes in weather conditions or court surface could be considered by traders. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could trigger price movements, reflecting new information or shifts in sentiment regarding the M25 Kigali tennis match.