TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Benjamin Lock in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Benjamin Lock. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Lock' if Benjamin Lock advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Benjamin Lock in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Benjamin Lock. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Lock' if Benjamin Lock advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective wisdom of the traders participating in this market for the Kigali tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by the official outcome of the Max Houkes vs Benjamin Lock tennis match in Kigali. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the winner and finalize the market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts for movement in this market.