TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lenny Petit and Manzi rwamucyo David in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lenny Petit' if Lenny Petit advances against Manzi rwamucyo David. This market will resolve to 'Manzi rwamucyo David' if Manzi rwamucyo David advances against Lenny Petit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lenny Petit and Manzi rwamucyo David in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lenny Petit' if Lenny Petit advances against Manzi rwamucyo David. This market will resolve to 'Manzi rwamucyo David' if Manzi rwamucyo David advances against Lenny Petit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s significant public interest and informed trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The market will determine which boxer, Lenny Petit or Manzi rwamucyo David, is declared the winner of the M25 Kigali boxing match. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered by Polymarket’s resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate settlement of the market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding the fighters’ training, health, or any potential injuries could significantly shift the odds. Public statements from trainers or the fighters themselves, as well as any analysis from boxing experts, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or scheduling might also lead to price movements. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either boxer winning has the potential to move this market before Oct 11, 2026.