TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lenny Petit and George Gregoriou in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lenny Petit' if Lenny Petit advances against George Gregoriou. This market will resolve to 'George Gregoriou' if George Gregoriou advances against Lenny Petit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lenny Petit and George Gregoriou in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lenny Petit' if Lenny Petit advances against George Gregoriou. This market will resolve to 'George Gregoriou' if George Gregoriou advances against Lenny Petit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting or a disagreement in expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding the M25 Kigali tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Lenny Petit and George Gregoriou. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data confirming the match result, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis form, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed traders could signal a change in expectations, potentially leading to price movements in this market as it approaches Oct 12, 2026.