TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lawrence Bataljin and Harel Tarshish in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lawrence Bataljin' if Lawrence Bataljin advances against Harel Tarshish. This market will resolve to 'Harel Tarshish' if Harel Tarshish advances against Lawrence Bataljin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lawrence Bataljin and Harel Tarshish in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lawrence Bataljin' if Lawrence Bataljin advances against Harel Tarshish. This market will resolve to 'Harel Tarshish' if Harel Tarshish advances against Lawrence Bataljin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, leading to odds that can sometimes be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's worth comparing both to gain a broader perspective on the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali match between Lawrence Bataljin and Harel Tarshish, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The market will determine which player emerges victorious, based on the official scoreline and any applicable tournament rules.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader trends in the M25 Kigali tournament, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting new information or a change in perceived probabilities.