TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 7:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dev Javia and Yash Chaurasia in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dev Javia' if Dev Javia advances against Yash Chaurasia. This market will resolve to 'Yash Chaurasia' if Yash Chaurasia advances against Dev Javia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dev Javia and Yash Chaurasia in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dev Javia' if Dev Javia advances against Yash Chaurasia. This market will resolve to 'Yash Chaurasia' if Yash Chaurasia advances against Dev Javia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, the odds can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities and identify potential discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Kigali tennis match, determining which player ultimately wins. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be rewarded based on the final share prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants or shifts in overall market sentiment can create momentum and drive the price of shares up or down. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 15, 2026.