TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dev Javia and Rafael De Alba in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dev Javia' if Dev Javia advances against Rafael De Alba. This market will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against Dev Javia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dev Javia and Rafael De Alba in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dev Javia' if Dev Javia advances against Rafael De Alba. This market will resolve to 'Rafael De Alba' if Rafael De Alba advances against Dev Javia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant amount of money is wagered on a particular outcome, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly, potentially signaling disagreement with sportsbook expectations. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional bookmakers, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws closer. This can offer a different perspective on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the M25 Kigali tennis match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The market's price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading, and is not based on any single individual's opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winning player will determine the outcome, and the market will settle to 100% for the winning player’s share. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the result, based on established sporting standards. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence this market before the M25 Kigali tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in earlier rounds could significantly shift the odds. Analyst predictions and public sentiment can also play a role, as traders react to new information. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket can cause immediate price movements, reflecting a strong conviction from individual traders. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves as the event approaches.