TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 12:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dev Javia and Florent Bax in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dev Javia' if Dev Javia advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Dev Javia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dev Javia and Florent Bax in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dev Javia' if Dev Javia advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Dev Javia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when considering information not fully priced into the sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks may focus on readily available statistics, while this market incorporates a broader range of factors and insights from informed traders. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of liquidity and the specific expertise of those participating in each venue. It's common to see initial differences that narrow as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders expressing their beliefs about the event's outcome through their trading activity. This creates a dynamic and evolving assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match, determining which player, Dev Javia or Florent Bax, won the match. Resolution will be based on the official tournament results as published by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event could also impact perceptions of player form and confidence. Furthermore, significant trading activity – a large volume of shares being bought or sold – can itself move the market, reflecting a change in collective sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the implied probabilities of each player winning the M25 Kigali tennis match.