TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Courtney John Lock and Marlon Vankan in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Courtney John Lock' if Courtney John Lock advances against Marlon Vankan. This market will resolve to 'Marlon Vankan' if Marlon Vankan advances against Courtney John Lock. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Courtney John Lock and Marlon Vankan in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Courtney John Lock' if Courtney John Lock advances against Marlon Vankan. This market will resolve to 'Marlon Vankan' if Marlon Vankan advances against Courtney John Lock. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning the Kigali tennis match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the share price for that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the participants. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding the potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kigali tennis match between Courtney John Lock and Marlon Vankan. The winner will be determined according to standard tennis scoring rules, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting an outdoor court), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Significant betting activity, even outside of Polymarket, could also cause the market to react. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each player’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market.