TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Claude ISHIMWE and Florent Bax in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claude ISHIMWE' if Claude ISHIMWE advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Claude ISHIMWE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Claude ISHIMWE and Florent Bax in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claude ISHIMWE' if Claude ISHIMWE advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Claude ISHIMWE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a “vig” or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event occurring, as determined by traders. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in terms of accuracy, as they aggregate diverse opinions and incentivize informed predictions. However, the comparison isn’t always straightforward, and discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and market participation. This market’s odds reflect the collective wisdom of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kigali tennis match between Claude ISHIMWE and Florent Bax. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available and authoritative sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result. This market’s resolution is dependent on the completion of the tennis match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players’ recent performance, injury reports, or changes in their ranking could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Kigali that might affect the match could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or shifts in broader tennis betting sentiment could drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to its resolution on Oct 15, 2026.