TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 8:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chetanna Amadike and Gauderic Vilmaure in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chetanna Amadike' if Chetanna Amadike advances against Gauderic Vilmaure. This market will resolve to 'Gauderic Vilmaure' if Gauderic Vilmaure advances against Chetanna Amadike. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chetanna Amadike and Gauderic Vilmaure in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chetanna Amadike' if Chetanna Amadike advances against Gauderic Vilmaure. This market will resolve to 'Gauderic Vilmaure' if Gauderic Vilmaure advances against Chetanna Amadike. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that there's an arbitrage opportunity. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Chetanna Amadike and Gauderic Vilmaure. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available information from official tournament sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis of player statistics and head-to-head records, could also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, significant trading volume – a sudden influx of bets on a particular outcome – can quickly move the market, indicating a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.