TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Florent Bax in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Florent Bax in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Florent Bax. This market will resolve to 'Florent Bax' if Florent Bax advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers, providing valuable insight into potential value bets.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kigali tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Florent Bax, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news, social media discussions, and the trading activity on the platform itself will provide insights into potential catalysts for price changes.