TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Benjamin Lock in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Benjamin Lock. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Lock' if Benjamin Lock advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Benjamin Lock in the M25 Kigali, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Benjamin Lock. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Lock' if Benjamin Lock advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the players' chances. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes value lies.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kigali tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Benjamin Lock. This includes verification of the match’s completion and the officially declared winner. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the final result and settle the market accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Additionally, large trades or strategic activity from informed traders could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in market sentiment.