TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aniketh Venkataraman and Joao Azzari Cabas in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aniketh Venkataraman' if Aniketh Venkataraman advances against Joao Azzari Cabas. This market will resolve to 'Joao Azzari Cabas' if Joao Azzari Cabas advances against Aniketh Venkataraman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aniketh Venkataraman and Joao Azzari Cabas in the M25 Kigali, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aniketh Venkataraman' if Aniketh Venkataraman advances against Joao Azzari Cabas. This market will resolve to 'Joao Azzari Cabas' if Joao Azzari Cabas advances against Aniketh Venkataraman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of market participation. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights about player form or conditions. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more people buy shares in a specific outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the players' chances in the M25 Kigali tennis match. This creates a constantly evolving forecast based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Kigali tennis match between Aniketh Venkataraman and Joao Azzari Cabas. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available and trusted sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. The final result will determine which shares pay out, and at what value, based on the market prices at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches for either player, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also cause shifts. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before its resolution.