TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 2:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Thomson and Vuk Krstajic in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Thomson' if Matthew Thomson advances against Vuk Krstajic. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Krstajic' if Vuk Krstajic advances against Matthew Thomson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew Thomson and Vuk Krstajic in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Thomson' if Matthew Thomson advances against Vuk Krstajic. This market will resolve to 'Vuk Krstajic' if Vuk Krstajic advances against Matthew Thomson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the current consensus of all traders participating in the market, and it dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts. This creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Matthew Thomson and Vuk Krstajic. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injuries or recent performance in other tournaments, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions at the Heraklion venue could also impact the perceived advantage of either player. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also lead traders to reassess the probabilities. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment and cause the market to move.