TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Ernst and Tymofiy Khrystyuk in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Ernst' if Lucas Ernst advances against Tymofiy Khrystyuk. This market will resolve to 'Tymofiy Khrystyuk' if Tymofiy Khrystyuk advances against Lucas Ernst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Ernst and Tymofiy Khrystyuk in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucas Ernst' if Lucas Ernst advances against Tymofiy Khrystyuk. This market will resolve to 'Tymofiy Khrystyuk' if Tymofiy Khrystyuk advances against Lucas Ernst. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will adjust accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Lucas Ernst and Tymofiy Khrystyuk, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which player won the match and trigger the payout of shares accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or surface conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a change in market sentiment. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding potential movements in this market leading up to the match’s conclusion.