TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Heraklion: Jakub Filip vs ori Hillel
- Polymarket
M25 Heraklion: Jakub Filip vs ori Hillel - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 9, 2026
Time left: 06d:11h:27m
$
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and ori Hillel in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against ori Hillel. This market will resolve to 'ori Hillel' if ori Hillel advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Filip and ori Hillel in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Filip' if Jakub Filip advances against ori Hillel. This market will resolve to 'ori Hillel' if ori Hillel advances against Jakub Filip. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of market participation. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook offerings, it could indicate a potential opportunity or a disagreement in assessments of player performance and match conditions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Jakub Filip and Ori Hillel. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the odds. Furthermore, general tennis news and analysis, as well as public sentiment, can all contribute to price movements. Increased trading volume leading up to the match is also a signal to watch, as it suggests growing interest and potentially new information entering the market.