TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dan Brand and Alex Jones in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dan Brand' if Dan Brand advances against Alex Jones. This market will resolve to 'Alex Jones' if Alex Jones advances against Dan Brand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dan Brand and Alex Jones in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dan Brand' if Dan Brand advances against Alex Jones. This market will resolve to 'Alex Jones' if Alex Jones advances against Dan Brand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome—Dan Brand winning or Alex Jones winning. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, and is a key indicator of perceived likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which debater is widely considered to have won the debate, as determined by independent media sources and public opinion. The platform will look to established news outlets and polling data to verify the winner. The outcome is not dependent on official scoring but on the consensus view of the debate’s result as reported by reliable sources.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the debate format, the debaters’ preparation, or their recent public statements could shift sentiment. Unexpected developments in either debater’s public image or controversies surrounding their past actions could also have an impact. Furthermore, pre-debate polls or expert analyses, even if informal, might sway traders’ opinions. A strong performance by either debater in a preceding event could also move this market before Nov 8, 2026.