TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 3:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Alex Ganchev in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Alex Ganchev. This market will resolve to 'Alex Ganchev' if Alex Ganchev advances against Alexandre Aubriot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Alex Ganchev in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Aubriot' if Alexandre Aubriot advances against Alex Ganchev. This market will resolve to 'Alex Ganchev' if Alex Ganchev advances against Alexandre Aubriot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the outcome it represents. A higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome occurring, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and trader expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Alexandre Aubriot and Alex Ganchev. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. The outcome will be determined by which player is declared the victor by the official tournament organizers, and this information will be used to settle the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injuries or recent match results, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament could affect the overall confidence in player rankings and influence trading activity. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the players’ chances of winning could also move this market.