TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
M25 Heraklion: ADRIAN CONSTANTIN vs Ruben Hartig
- Polymarket
M25 Heraklion: ADRIAN CONSTANTIN vs Ruben Hartig - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Nov 1, 2026
Closed: Nov 1, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between ADRIAN CONSTANTIN and Ruben Hartig in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'ADRIAN CONSTANTIN' if ADRIAN CONSTANTIN advances against Ruben Hartig. This market will resolve to 'Ruben Hartig' if Ruben Hartig advances against ADRIAN CONSTANTIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between ADRIAN CONSTANTIN and Ruben Hartig in the M25 Heraklion, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'ADRIAN CONSTANTIN' if ADRIAN CONSTANTIN advances against Ruben Hartig. This market will resolve to 'Ruben Hartig' if Ruben Hartig advances against ADRIAN CONSTANTIN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Heraklion tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of Adrian Constantin winning against Ruben Hartig.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Heraklion tennis match between Adrian Constantin and Ruben Hartig, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player ultimately won the match, based on the official score and any applicable rules governing the event. Traders will then be paid out according to their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could all have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in sentiment. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes before the Nov 8, 2026 resolution.