TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M25 Guadalajara: Rafael Candelas Ruiz vs Tomas Quesada Perez
🌟New
polymarket

M25 Guadalajara: Rafael Candelas Ruiz vs Tomas Quesada Perez

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Candelas Ruiz and Tomas Quesada Perez in the M25 Guadalajara, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Candelas Ruiz' if Rafael Candelas Ruiz advances against Tomas Quesada Perez. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Quesada Perez' if Tomas Quesada Perez advances against Rafael Candelas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Candelas Ruiz and Tomas Quesada Perez in the M25 Guadalajara, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Candelas Ruiz' if Rafael Candelas Ruiz advances against Tomas Quesada Perez. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Quesada Perez' if Tomas Quesada Perez advances against Rafael Candelas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing process. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions accordingly.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the M25 Guadalajara event. Any official announcement regarding the winner of the match between Rafael Candelas Ruiz and Tomas Quesada Perez will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are confirmed.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding the fighters’ training, injuries, or changes in their condition would likely have a significant impact. Any public statements from the fighters or their trainers could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes to the venue or rules, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a shift in expectations, potentially moving the market considerably.