TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zachary Adam-Gedge and Nikolas Baker in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Adam-Gedge' if Zachary Adam-Gedge advances against Nikolas Baker. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Baker' if Nikolas Baker advances against Zachary Adam-Gedge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zachary Adam-Gedge and Nikolas Baker in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Adam-Gedge' if Zachary Adam-Gedge advances against Nikolas Baker. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Baker' if Nikolas Baker advances against Zachary Adam-Gedge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy comparable to, and sometimes exceeding, that of conventional betting markets. It’s important to note that factors like public perception and the availability of information can influence both types of odds, leading to potential discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Darwin race, determining which competitor achieved the fastest time. The platform will verify the results against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets. It’s important to monitor the event closely as Oct 12, 2026 approaches to stay informed about potential developments.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding the physical condition or recent performance of either Zachary Adam-Gedge or Nikolas Baker would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also play a role, potentially favoring one competitor over the other. Furthermore, any public statements or analysis from experts regarding the racers’ strategies or capabilities could impact market sentiment. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves in the lead-up to Oct 12, 2026.