TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Camus and Heimanarii Lai San in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Camus' if Tommy Camus advances against Heimanarii Lai San. This market will resolve to 'Heimanarii Lai San' if Heimanarii Lai San advances against Tommy Camus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Camus and Heimanarii Lai San in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Camus' if Tommy Camus advances against Heimanarii Lai San. This market will resolve to 'Heimanarii Lai San' if Heimanarii Lai San advances against Tommy Camus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Darwin fight between Tommy Camus and Heimanarii Lai San, as determined by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause shifts in the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis from boxing commentators, could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the fight, such as changes in weight class or venue, could also lead to significant price movements. Increased media coverage or social media buzz surrounding the fight could also attract more traders and increase volume.