TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Storch and Nicholas Jovanovski in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Storch' if Stefan Storch advances against Nicholas Jovanovski. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Jovanovski' if Nicholas Jovanovski advances against Stefan Storch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Stefan Storch and Nicholas Jovanovski in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Storch' if Stefan Storch advances against Nicholas Jovanovski. This market will resolve to 'Nicholas Jovanovski' if Nicholas Jovanovski advances against Stefan Storch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the pricing on Polymarket. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Darwin match between Stefan Storch and Nicholas Jovanovski. The platform will look to established tennis reporting sources to verify the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also impact expectations. Furthermore, weather conditions on the day of the match, or even changes in playing surface, could be considered by traders. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning could cause price fluctuations.