TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:25 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Radu Cojocaru and Jayden Tzirtis in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radu Cojocaru' if Radu Cojocaru advances against Jayden Tzirtis. This market will resolve to 'Jayden Tzirtis' if Jayden Tzirtis advances against Radu Cojocaru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Radu Cojocaru and Jayden Tzirtis in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radu Cojocaru' if Radu Cojocaru advances against Jayden Tzirtis. This market will resolve to 'Jayden Tzirtis' if Jayden Tzirtis advances against Radu Cojocaru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point, representing the collective forecast. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share that pays out if the event resolves in favor of that outcome, offering a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Darwin M25 match between Radu Cojocaru and Jayden Tzirtis, as determined by the tournament organizers and widely reported by sports news outlets. The market will settle to 100% for the winning player, and 0% for the losing player. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to their share size, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Darwin M25 event might also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the match has the potential to move this market.