TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Baker and Stefan Vujic in the M25 Darwin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Baker' if Nikolas Baker advances against Stefan Vujic. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Vujic' if Stefan Vujic advances against Nikolas Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Baker and Stefan Vujic in the M25 Darwin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Baker' if Nikolas Baker advances against Stefan Vujic. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Vujic' if Stefan Vujic advances against Nikolas Baker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes value lies compared to the traditional betting industry.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Darwin boxing match, as declared by the relevant boxing authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to the Oct 14, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding the fighters’ training, health, or potential injuries could significantly impact the odds. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks, and even social media sentiment could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, such as a change in venue or a last-minute opponent substitution, could also cause volatility.