TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa
polymarket

What is the result of Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa?

Volume:
N/A

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa

 - Polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set 2 Winner

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Luca Connaughton vs Haruto Ishikawa Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Connaughton and Haruto Ishikawa in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Connaughton' if Luca Connaughton advances against Haruto Ishikawa. This market will resolve to 'Haruto Ishikawa' if Haruto Ishikawa advances against Luca Connaughton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Connaughton and Haruto Ishikawa in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Connaughton' if Luca Connaughton advances against Haruto Ishikawa. This market will resolve to 'Haruto Ishikawa' if Haruto Ishikawa advances against Luca Connaughton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event as determined by traders. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal insights into what factors each group prioritizes when assessing the likelihood of a particular outcome in this market.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the quality of information they bring to bear on their trading decisions.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M25 Darwin match between Luca Connaughton and Haruto Ishikawa. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of this market.

Several signals could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Luca Connaughton or Haruto Ishikawa would likely have an impact. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations and cause the market to react quickly. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to resolution.