TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 8:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Delaney and Zane Stevens in the M25 Darwin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Zane Stevens. This market will resolve to 'Zane Stevens' if Zane Stevens advances against Jake Delaney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jake Delaney and Zane Stevens in the M25 Darwin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jake Delaney' if Jake Delaney advances against Zane Stevens. This market will resolve to 'Zane Stevens' if Zane Stevens advances against Jake Delaney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from expert analysis. Often, prediction markets can offer a more accurate forecast, as they aggregate the opinions of many individuals, potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks may miss. However, sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like house edges and risk management, which aren't present in decentralized prediction markets. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions in this market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jake Delaney vs Zane Stevens fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout equivalent to the final market price of their shares.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either Jake Delaney or Zane Stevens would likely cause a shift in the odds. Updates on their training regimens, weight class, or pre-fight press conferences could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks or public polls might also be considered by market participants. Finally, any controversies or rule changes related to the fight itself could introduce volatility and move the market before Oct 16, 2026.