TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Bruce-Smith and Simon Swenson in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Bruce-Smith' if Jack Bruce-Smith advances against Simon Swenson. This market will resolve to 'Simon Swenson' if Simon Swenson advances against Jack Bruce-Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Bruce-Smith and Simon Swenson in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Bruce-Smith' if Jack Bruce-Smith advances against Simon Swenson. This market will resolve to 'Simon Swenson' if Simon Swenson advances against Jack Bruce-Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The more shares purchased in a particular outcome, the higher its price rises.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding driver performance, vehicle modifications, or changes in weather conditions could influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or driver health could also cause shifts in probabilities. Furthermore, public endorsements or expert analyses of each driver's chances could sway market sentiment. Major incidents during practice sessions or qualifying rounds might also lead to adjustments in the odds, as traders reassess the likelihood of each outcome based on the latest developments.