TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric
polymarket

What is the result of Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric?

Volume:
$1,128

Completed Match

 - Polymarket

Completed Match - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 10:25 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M25 Darwin: Jack Bruce-Smith vs Dimitri Bagaric Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Bruce-Smith and Dimitri Bagaric in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Bruce-Smith' if Jack Bruce-Smith advances against Dimitri Bagaric. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against Jack Bruce-Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Jack Bruce-Smith and Dimitri Bagaric in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jack Bruce-Smith' if Jack Bruce-Smith advances against Dimitri Bagaric. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against Jack Bruce-Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the M25 Darwin boxing match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome shifts over time, providing insight into how traders are assessing the likelihood of Jack Bruce-Smith or Dimitri Bagaric winning. The current volume is $1,128, and the total volume traded to date is $1,128. This allows for a dynamic view of market sentiment leading up to the fight.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of informed traders. However, initial odds on Polymarket may differ from those found at sportsbooks due to varying levels of information and market participation. It's always useful to compare both to gain a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the fight.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The current price movements indicate how traders are reacting to news, analysis, and any developments related to the M25 Darwin boxing match.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the boxing commission overseeing the M25 Darwin boxing match. The winner of the fight, as officially announced, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform’s standard procedures.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding the fighters’ training, health, or any potential injuries would be major catalysts. Public statements from either Jack Bruce-Smith or Dimitri Bagaric, or their trainers, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected changes in the fight’s location or rules might also influence trading activity. Finally, any expert analysis or predictions released by boxing analysts could lead to adjustments in the implied probabilities reflected in this market.