TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emmanuel Valsamis and Alex Bulte in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emmanuel Valsamis' if Emmanuel Valsamis advances against Alex Bulte. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bulte' if Alex Bulte advances against Emmanuel Valsamis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emmanuel Valsamis and Alex Bulte in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emmanuel Valsamis' if Emmanuel Valsamis advances against Alex Bulte. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bulte' if Alex Bulte advances against Emmanuel Valsamis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders on the platform. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants regarding the Darwin M25 match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official result of the Darwin M25 match, as declared by the relevant governing body. The platform will verify this information against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the final result and the timing of settlement for this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes for either Emmanuel Valsamis or Alex Bulte could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or changes to the tournament schedule could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create momentum and lead to price fluctuations as traders react to new information or sentiment surrounding the Darwin M25 match.