TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitri Bagaric and Harry Roberts in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against Harry Roberts. This market will resolve to 'Harry Roberts' if Harry Roberts advances against Dimitri Bagaric. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dimitri Bagaric and Harry Roberts in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dimitri Bagaric' if Dimitri Bagaric advances against Harry Roberts. This market will resolve to 'Harry Roberts' if Harry Roberts advances against Dimitri Bagaric. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on their own research and analysis of the boxing match. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the boxing match between Dimitri Bagaric and Harry Roberts in Darwin. The platform will verify the winner, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that the official result, as reported by recognized sports news sources, will be the determining factor for settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the fighters' training, health, or potential injuries would likely cause significant movement. Public statements from either fighter or their trainers, changes in betting odds at sportsbooks, and even media coverage could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments leading up to the fight, such as a change in venue or a last-minute opponent substitution, would also be key catalysts. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s implied probabilities.