TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 5:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chen Dong and Stefan Vujic in the M25 Darwin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chen Dong' if Chen Dong advances against Stefan Vujic. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Vujic' if Stefan Vujic advances against Chen Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chen Dong and Stefan Vujic in the M25 Darwin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chen Dong' if Chen Dong advances against Stefan Vujic. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Vujic' if Stefan Vujic advances against Chen Dong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect information and insights beyond those captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing for a potentially more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply variations in modeling approaches. It’s common to see prediction market odds diverge from sportsbook odds as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'yes' share (Chen Dong wins) or a 'no' share (Stefan Vujic wins) indicates the implied probability of that outcome, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chen Dong vs Stefan Vujic match as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, could also drive price movements. Major upsets in related tournaments or significant changes to the playing conditions could also contribute to volatility in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.