TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Casey Hoole and Hayden Jones in the M25 Darwin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casey Hoole' if Casey Hoole advances against Hayden Jones. This market will resolve to 'Hayden Jones' if Hayden Jones advances against Casey Hoole. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Casey Hoole and Hayden Jones in the M25 Darwin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casey Hoole' if Casey Hoole advances against Hayden Jones. This market will resolve to 'Hayden Jones' if Hayden Jones advances against Casey Hoole. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of traders participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the M25 Darwin competition between Casey Hoole and Hayden Jones. The platform will rely on publicly available data to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the final payout for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their training regimes could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected results in preliminary matches or shifts in expert opinions could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the competition will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market's price.