TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Archie Frost and Petar Jovic in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Archie Frost' if Archie Frost advances against Petar Jovic. This market will resolve to 'Petar Jovic' if Petar Jovic advances against Archie Frost. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Archie Frost and Petar Jovic in the M25 Darwin, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Archie Frost' if Archie Frost advances against Petar Jovic. This market will resolve to 'Petar Jovic' if Petar Jovic advances against Archie Frost. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own insights. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one boxer, but volume in this market is distributed more evenly, it suggests disagreement between the two types of bettors. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each boxer winning the Darwin boxing match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The boxer declared the winner by the official decision will determine the outcome of this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding either boxer’s training camp, such as injuries or changes in coaching staff, would likely cause price movement. Pre-fight interviews or press conferences where either boxer displays confidence or vulnerability could also influence trading activity. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by social media, might also drive changes in the market. Any updates regarding the fight’s venue or scheduling could also introduce volatility before Oct 12, 2026.